UK borrowing costs and Pound are hammered AGAIN with hopes fading that Bank of England will be able to revive the economy with interest rate cuts... as Rachel Reeves defies jibes she has lost the plot to head for China
The UK was battered by markets again today amid rising alarm at Rachel Reeves strategy - including from within Cabinet.
The UK was battered by markets again today amid rising alarm at Rachel Reeves strategy - including from within Cabinet.
The yield on 10-year gilts rose further to 4.85 per cent this morning, while for 30-year the level was up to 5.41 per cent.
The problems gathered pace at lunchtime, with strong US jobs figures suggesting inflation and interest rates will stay elevated for longer on the other side of the Atlantic.
Meanwhile the Pound slumped a cent against the dollar before paring back some of the losses.
In miserable news for mortage-payers, traders now expect the Bank of England will only cut interest rates once this year - as it must leave the handbrake on UK plc to stop prices spiralling.
Although similar bond market moves have been seen globally, Labour has been accused of leaving Britain exposed with the huge tax, borrow and spend Budget.
Economists have warned that with growth stalling and sticky inflation hampering the Bank of England from cutting interest rates, Ms Reeves could be forced to choose between cutting spending plans or hiking the tax burden further.
She has defied mounting concerns to head for China on a long-planned visit today.
Comparisons have even been made to the 1976 crisis when Labours Denis Healey humiliatingly had to turn to the IMF for a bailout. The unusual combination of the currency weakening and gilt yields rising has caused particular concern.
Ben Zaranko, Associate Director at the respected IFS think-tank, said the Chancellor faced an unenviable set of options saying something will have to give.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves is en route to Beijing despite demands to cancel the trip and deal with mounting pressure on the UKs fiscal position
The yields on 10-year gilts (pictured) spiked today after strong jobs figures in the US. The rise means the UK government has to pay more to finance borrowing
The Pound has been losing ground against the dollar in another worrying sign
There are signs that Ms Reeves is losing the confidence of her own colleagues, with a Cabinet source telling The Times: Theyve lost the plot.
Another swiped that the Treasury is in make-or-break territory now, while a third worried: This is all starting to look like Healey having to come back from Heathrow, isnt it?
That was a reference to Healey having to cancel a trip to respond to a Sterling crisis. The government was swept aside by Margaret Thatchers Conservatives at the polls three years later.Ms Reeves has departed on her trip to China, despite calls for her to stay in the UK to fix the mess her Budget created.
Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy defended proceeding with the visit during a round of interviews this morning, telling Sky News: China is the second largest economy, and what China does has the biggest impact on people from Stockton to Sunderland, right across the UK, and its absolutely essential that we have a relationship with them.
We need to make sure that the UK economy remains competitive, we need to challenge where we must, including in the area of human rights, but we also need to make sure that we are working with China on those areas of shared interest.
Mr Zaranko said: As it stands, the Chancellor could face a rather unenviable set of options.
This unfortunate predicament is largely the consequence of a difficult fiscal inheritance and global economic factors.
But it also reflects a series of government choices and mutually incompatible promises: to stick to a hard, numerical fiscal rule while leaving only the finest of margins against it; to prioritise public services and avoid imposing another round of austerity; not to raise the biggest taxes, and not to raise taxes again after the Autumn Budget; and to hold only one fiscal event per year.
If higher interest rates wipe out her so called headroom, something will have to give.
Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride said the public were having to pay the price for yet another socialist government taxing and spending their way into trouble.
He said the rise in borrowing costs threatened to swallow up the proceeds from the record tax rises imposed at the Budget, and suggested the market turbulence was likely to impact mortgage costs and lending across the economy.
Ms Reeves ducked a Commons debate on the crisis to prepare for China trip, where she hopes to strengthen trade ties despite the communist regimes dire human rights record – and warnings that cosying up to Beijing could undermine the UKs national security.
Sir Iain Duncan Smith, one of several MPs sanctioned by Beijing for speaking out on human rights, said: The Chancellor should not go to China.
The trip is pointless – as the disastrous Golden Era showed, the murderous, brutal, law-breaking, communist regime in China will not deliver the growth the Labour government craves. Instead, she should stay home and try to sort out the awful mess her Budget has created.
Former Treasury select committee chairman Harriet Baldwin accused the Chancellor of fleeing to China after realising she is the arsonist with the economy.
Martin Weale, a respected former member of the Bank of Englands rate-setting monetary policy committee, told Bloomberg News: We havent really seen the toxic combination of a sharp fall in sterling and long-term interest rates going up since 1976. That led to the IMF bailout.
He added: So far we are not in that position but it must be one of the Chancellors nightmares.
Nigel Green, chief executive of financial advisory firm deVere, added: The Chancellors inability to reassure markets is fanning fears of an economic implosion, with austerity looming as the only option to restore credibility – a brutal throwback to 1976.
The warnings are the latest to conjure up the spectre of the 1970s when Britain last suffered a crippling bout of stagflation, in which rising prices couple with low growth to produce an economic doom loop.
Although the rise has been slower than the response to Liz Trusss (pictured) mini-Budget in 2022 - and rates have been surging around the globe - analysts sounded alarm that the picture is more dire now and the mood on markets is darker